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The Times

New Zealand hits a 95% chance of eliminating coronavirus – but we predict new cases will emerge

  • Written by Michael Plank, Professor in Mathematics, University of Canterbury
New Zealand hits a 95% chance of eliminating coronavirus – but we predict new cases will emergeDaniele Cossu/Shutterstock

There is now a 95% chance COVID-19 has been eliminated in New Zealand, according to our modelling, based on official Ministry of Health data.

As of June 4, New Zealand has had 20 consecutive days of zero new cases, with only one active case remaining. The last new reported case of COVID-19 was on May 15 (going by the date...

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