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The Times

Sorry Melbourne. The chance of reaching an average 5 COVID-19 cases by mid-October is under 50%

  • Written by Jodie McVernon, Professor and Director of Doherty Epidemiology, University of Melbourne
Sorry Melbourne. The chance of reaching an average 5 COVID-19 cases by mid-October is under 50%Shutterstock

Melburnians are addicted to the Victorian health department’s daily tweet of the state’s new COVID-19 cases. This figure contributes to the all-important rolling 14-day average, which alongside the number of mystery cases, tells us whether we’re on target for the next phase of reopening.

How likely is it we’ll...

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