Labor's Newspoll lead falls to 51-49 on dubious assumptions as Palmer and Coalition do a deal
- Written by Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne

With 19 days to go until election day, this week’s Newspoll, conducted April 26-28 from a sample of 2,140, gave Labor just a 51-49 lead, a one-point gain for the Coalition since last fortnight. Primary votes were 38% Coalition...