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The Times

what to watch for as the US presidential election unfolds

  • Written by Peter S. Field, Head of Humanities and Creative Arts and Associate Professor of American History, University of Canterbury
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Just about every pollster and pundit in the United States predicts Joe Biden will prevail in the popular vote on November 3. Current polling puts the Democrat candidate somewhere between seven and eight points ahead.

For context, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2% in 2016. If the polls are accurate, there is next to no...

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